Tommy Paul vs Alexei Popyrin Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Popyrin has a slight edge in second serve points, winning 47.63% compared to Paul's 45.9% over the last six months. Could this be the deciding factor in the outcome?
• Paul excels in return games, winning 47.85% of opponent's second serve points versus Popyrin's 44.43%. His first serve return rate is also higher at 25.9% compared to Popyrin's 24.49%.
• Under pressure, Popyrin shows resilience, saving 63.45% of breakpoints, while Paul manages to save 51.68%.
• Paul has a stronger overall match win percentage over the last year, standing at 71.64%, whereas Popyrin's is 56.14%.
• Popyrin performs best on clay with a 57% win rate, while Paul shines on grass with a 67% win rate. Which surface will they play on this time?
• Paul has been more successful on the Main tour with a 76% win rate, compared to Popyrin's 63.64% in the Masters series.
• Historically, Paul leads their head-to-head 3-1, having also won the last match on grass.
• In deciding sets, Paul holds an advantage, winning 3 out of 3 head-to-head, and 67% overall compared to Popyrin's 50% over the last year.
• Paul is more successful at converting break points recently, achieving a 34.17% conversion rate against Popyrin's 21.09%.

Editorial Prediction (May 30, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Popyrin and Paul presents a compelling clash of strengths and weaknesses. Popyrin's ability to win points on his second serve and withstand pressure by saving more break points gives him a fighting chance to assert dominance if he can maintain these advantages.

However, Paul's superior return game and consistent performance across various surfaces, particularly grass, may tilt the balance in his favor. His historical head-to-head advantage over Popyrin and strong conversion of break points further highlight his edge in potentially pivotal moments of the match.

Given these factors, along with Paul's higher match win percentage on the main tour and steady performance in deciding sets, he appears to be the more likely winner in this upcoming contest.